A top-down approach in financial analysis can help in understanding and reacting to news that impacts financial markets by starting with a broad overview and narrowing down to specific elements.
Global economy
Global financial market news can have a diversified impact on everything ranging from interest rates and capital flows, to investor sentiments and beyond. For instance, in December 2023, the United States Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%, pushing the benchmark rate to a range of 5.25% - 5.50% to combat inflation. This resulted in the Indian stock markets taking a nosedive as foreign institutional investors pulled out over Rs. 12,000 crores from the market. This subsequently had an adverse effect on export heavy sectors such as technology and electronics that are reliant on US exports. Such market news on global events emphasise the growing interconnectedness of international financial markets.
Also read: Financial Statement Analysis
Local economy
Much like the global market news, local economy and events also have great impact on regional and local markets. In this respect, the Indian government often introduces policies to address challenges or promote growth. For example, the Union Budget 2024 focused on infrastructure, green technology, and job creation, allocating Rs. 11,11,111 crore for infrastructure which is approximately 3.4% of the total Indian GDP. Moreover, the RBI's monetary policy that involves interest rate changes, and repo rate changes, among others, also affects sectors like real estate and manufacturing due to the associated borrowing costs. For instance, the RBI’s February 2024 repo rate hike to 6.5% slowed home loan demand but benefited many fixed income investments.
Also read: Financial Ratio Analysis
Sector-specific news
Sector-specific market news provides invaluable insights for targeted investments that allow you to take informed decisions based on trends within certain specific industries. In 2024, two key areas of growth are Green Technology and the Healthcare sector. With India's focus on sustainability, renewable energy industries such as solar power, electric vehicles, and green hydrogen are seeing rapid expansion. To capitalise on these trends, you can consider investing in sector specific funds that focus on such high-growth industries. Similarly, in early 2024, India also allocated funds to healthcare infrastructure, including rural clinics with a vision to drive growth in pharmaceutical and healthcare companies.
Industry-specific news
Industry-specific market news revolves around providing deep insights into various specific industries. The banking and financial services industry, for example, is largely influenced by changes in regulations, interest rates, and policies. In 2024, with the RBI's push towards digital payment infrastructure, fintech companies have seen rapid growth. Besides, company-specific market news such as corporate debt disclosures and fund-specific news such as new changes in fund structure or fund management, can also drastically affect respective stock prices as well. Regularly reviewing fund and company documentations, circulars, policy updates, and fact sheets ensures your investments remain aligned with your financial goals in the long run.