Portfolio Risk

Portfolio risk refers to the chance that the value of your investments will decrease, leading to reduced returns or losses. It can involve losing part or all of your initial investment. Risk is often measured by standard deviation, with higher returns usually associated with greater risk.
Diversify your portfolio risk smartly with professionally managed mutual funds
3 min
07-November-2024

Every investor dreams of growing their money but let us face it, the road to financial success isn’t always smooth. The value of your investments can go up… or down. That unpredictability is what we call portfolio risk. It’s the possibility that the value of your investment portfolio might decline or deliver returns lower than expected.

Managing this risk is an essential part of smart investing. Whether you're investing in mutual funds, stocks, or bonds, every asset comes with some level of uncertainty. This article breaks down the different types of portfolio risk—like market, credit, and liquidity risks—and explores strategies to manage them. From diversification to asset allocation and even hedging tools like options, you’ll learn how to protect your investments and work toward long-term growth with confidence.

If you are looking for a way to manage risk while still aiming for steady returns, mutual funds offer built-in diversification, expert management, and options suited to every risk appetite. Explore Mutual Fund Schemes Tailored to Your Risk Profile

What is portfolio risk?

Portfolio risk is the chance that your investments could lose value, affecting your returns and, ultimately, your financial goals. It’s that very real possibility that the market dips just when you need the money—or that a certain asset underperforms and drags down your overall returns.

The key thing to remember? All investments carry some form of risk. Whether you’re investing in mutual funds, trading in the stock market, or dabbling in forex, there’s no such thing as a “sure shot.” That’s why savvy investors aim to balance their risk and reward by spreading their money across different types of investments. The better you understand portfolio risk, the better equipped you'll be to manage it.

That’s why mutual funds can be a fit l in your portfolio—they are designed to spread your money across sectors and asset classes, helping you manage risk without needing to track every move in the market yourself. Compare Mutual Fund Options Now

What’s the best way to manage portfolio risk?

The golden rule: don’t put all your eggs in one basket. A well-diversified portfolio is your first line of defence against risk. By spreading your money across various assets—like stocks, bonds, and cash—you can soften the blow if one of them performs poorly.

Portfolio risk isn’t just about reacting to market swings. It starts with recognising the kinds of risks that exist in the first place. From global economic shifts to inflation and company defaults, being aware of the risk landscape helps you plan smarter.

Want to keep your investment goals on track? Learn how to identify the right balance between risk and return, and choose the strategies that work best for your timeline and financial situation.

Types of Portfolio Risk

Understanding the different types of portfolio risks is key to protecting your investments from unexpected shocks. Each type of risk can impact your portfolio differently, so knowing what to watch out for helps you plan better. Here's a breakdown of the major portfolio risks:

1. Market Risk

Market risk is the most common and unavoidable type of risk that affects the entire financial system. It refers to the possibility that your investments may lose value due to broader market movements—like changes in interest rates, inflation, or geopolitical events. Even a well-diversified portfolio can’t escape market risk completely. The best you can do is prepare for it by staying informed and invested for the long term.

2. Liquidity Risk

Liquidity risk comes into play when you're unable to quickly sell an asset without affecting its price. For example, while mutual funds or stocks are generally easy to sell, assets like real estate or private equity aren't. If you’re forced to sell a less liquid asset during a market dip, you may have to accept a lower price. That’s why it’s a good idea to keep part of your portfolio in liquid assets—so you’re never stuck.

3. Credit Risk

Credit risk is all about trust—specifically, the trust that a bond issuer will repay what they owe. If you hold corporate bonds and the company fails to meet its payment obligations, that’s a credit risk. It’s more common with lower-rated or lesser-known issuers. Sticking with high-credit-rated instruments or diversifying across multiple issuers can help manage this risk.

4. Inflation Risk

Inflation eats into the value of your money—and your investment returns. Fixed-income instruments like bonds are particularly vulnerable here. As inflation rises, the real value of the interest you earn goes down. That’s why long-term investors need to choose assets that can outpace inflation, like equities or inflation-linked bonds.

5. Reinvestment Risk

Reinvestment risk happens when you receive returns—like interest payments—and can’t reinvest them at the same rate. Suppose you had a bond yielding 8%, but when it matures, the best you can find is 5%. That shortfall can hurt your long-term income, especially in falling interest rate environments. Laddering your investments or using fixed-return products can help balance this out.

6. Currency Risk

If you invest in international assets or funds that hold foreign stocks, you’re exposed to currency risk. Exchange rate fluctuations between the rupee and other currencies can impact your returns—either positively or negatively. Currency risk is especially important for NRIs or those investing in global mutual funds.

7. Concentration Risk

This occurs when too much of your money is invested in a single sector, asset class, or even company. If that area suffers a downturn, your whole portfolio takes a hit. Diversification is the go-to solution here. By spreading your investments, you reduce the impact of any one poor-performing asset on your overall portfolio.

8. Political Risk

Political events or policy changes can also affect investment performance. For example, a change in tax laws or new regulations could hurt specific industries or markets. Investors in emerging markets often face higher political risks. Staying updated on global news and investing through professional fund managers can help you manage this type of risk better.

Each of these risks may sound daunting on their own—but you don’t have to tackle them all by yourself. Mutual funds are built to balance multiple types of risks through professional fund management and broad diversification. Explore Top-Performing Mutual Funds

How to calculate portfolio at risk?

Knowing your portfolio’s potential downside is just as important as tracking its gains. Here are 10 key methods and stages that help you measure and manage portfolio risk:

1. Standard Deviation

This is one of the simplest ways to understand how much your investment returns swing around the average. A high standard deviation means your returns have been more volatile jumping up and down. Lower standard deviation? Your returns have been more stable. This number gives you a sense of how “risky” your portfolio has been historically.

2. Value at Risk (VaR)

VaR tells you the maximum expected loss on your portfolio over a given period and confidence level. For instance, you might find that there's a 95% chance you won’t lose more than Rs. 50,000 in the next month. While it's not perfect, it’s a widely used tool to quantify potential losses.

3. Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)

CVaR goes a step beyond VaR. It tells you the average loss if things go worse than the VaR threshold. So, if the worst 5% of outcomes happen, how bad could it actually get? This is particularly useful for understanding tail risks—those rare but painful events.

4. Sharpe Ratio

This ratio helps you understand how much return you’re earning for every unit of risk taken. The higher the Sharpe Ratio, the better. It compares your portfolio returns to a risk-free rate and adjusts for volatility. In simple terms, it helps answer: are your returns worth the risk?

5. Sortino Ratio

Think of this as a refined version of the Sharpe Ratio. It focuses only on downside risk—i.e., how much your returns dip below a certain threshold (usually the risk-free rate). That makes it especially helpful for investors who care more about avoiding losses than total volatility.

6. Identification

Before managing risk, you need to know what you’re dealing with. This stage involves identifying all potential risks—be it market volatility, currency exposure, or concentration in a specific sector. The more detailed your understanding, the better your strategy will be.

7. Assessment and Measurement

After identifying risks, assess how big an impact each one could have. Here’s where tools like standard deviation, VaR, or even correlation analysis come in. You’re not just spotting risks—you’re measuring how much they could affect your returns.

8. Mitigation and Strategy

Once you've measured risk, it's time to act. This is where diversification, asset allocation, and hedging techniques come in. The goal is to reduce your exposure without compromising your long-term objectives.

9. Monitor and Review

Risk management isn’t a one-time activity. Markets change. Your goals change. So, it's crucial to regularly review your portfolio to ensure it still fits your risk appetite. Set periodic reviews to adjust asset allocations or weed out underperformers.

10. Strategy Execution

Having a risk management plan is great—but what matters is execution. Whether it’s rebalancing your portfolio quarterly or implementing stop-loss orders, consistent and disciplined execution ensures your portfolio stays aligned with your risk tolerance and investment goals.

Tools to Assess and Manage Risk in Portfolio

Managing portfolio risk isn’t just about reacting to market movements—it’s about using the right tools to proactively monitor, control, and minimise potential losses. Whether you're a new investor or a seasoned one, these techniques can help you make smarter, more informed decisions.

1. Hedging to Limit Exposure

Think of hedging as a way to cushion your portfolio from unexpected shocks. You use tools like options and futures to offset possible losses. For example, if you’re worried a stock might drop in value, you can buy a put option that gives you the right to sell at a predetermined price. That way, even if the market dips, your loss is limited.

It’s not about removing risk entirely—it’s about controlling how much damage a negative outcome could do to your overall portfolio.

2. Active Management Based on Market Conditions

This approach involves constantly monitoring the markets and making timely decisions to tweak your portfolio. Maybe a particular sector is booming, or a geopolitical event is shaking up the markets—active managers step in to adjust your investments accordingly.

While it requires more involvement and sometimes comes with higher costs, active management can help you stay one step ahead in a fast-moving market.

3. Risk Budgeting to Align with Your Risk Tolerance

Risk budgeting is like setting up spending limits—but for risk. You decide how much risk you're comfortable with, and then assign different levels of that risk to various assets or strategies. For instance, if you're okay with higher risk in equities but want your bond investments to stay stable, you allocate your risk accordingly.

This structured approach ensures your portfolio always reflects your personal comfort level, no matter how the markets behave.

Portfolio Risk and Investment Goals

Understanding portfolio risk is one thing—aligning it with your financial goals is where the real magic happens. Whether you’re investing for short-term needs or building a retirement corpus, your strategy should match your objectives and your tolerance for risk.

Risk-Return Trade-Off

The first thing to remember is: higher returns usually come with higher risk. If you're chasing big profits, you have to accept the possibility of big dips too. On the flip side, safer investments may offer lower returns—but they give you peace of mind. It’s all about finding a balance that works for your unique situation.

Risk Tolerance

Everyone handles risk differently. Some people are fine with watching their portfolio fluctuate, while others lose sleep over a 5% dip. Your risk tolerance depends on your financial situation, goals, and even personality. Knowing this helps you choose investments you can stick with—especially when markets are unpredictable.

Investment Horizon

How long do you plan to stay invested? That’s your investment horizon—and it plays a huge role in how much risk you can take. If you’re investing for 15–20 years (like for retirement), you can ride out short-term market swings. But if you need your money in 2–3 years, a safer, low-risk approach is usually better.

Portfolio Performance Evaluation

It’s not just about making investments—it’s also about checking in regularly to see how they’re doing. Review your returns, look at risk metrics, and ask yourself: Is my portfolio still aligned with my goals? Regular performance evaluations help you make smart tweaks and stay on track.

Summary

Managing a portfolio isn’t just about choosing the right investments it’s also about understanding and handling the risks that come with them. Portfolio risk refers to the potential for your investments to lose value or deliver lower-than-expected returns. From market and credit risk to currency and political risks, these factors can impact your financial goals if not addressed proactively.

If you wish to invest in mutual funds, you can head to the Bajaj Finserv Mutual Fund Platform and select from over 1,000 mutual fund schemes. You can also rely on the lumpsum calculator and SIP calculator to calculate potential returns and choose MF schemes that align with your investment goals.

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Frequently asked questions

What is a portfolio risk example?
Portfolio risk examples include changes in interest rates, inflation, recession, and political turmoil, as they directly impact the markets. This can cause your investments to fall in value and put your portfolio at risk.
What is portfolio risk, and how is it measured?
Portfolio risk is the looming possibility of a decline in the value of your investment portfolio due to several factors in the stock market, such as inflation and interest rate changes. Popular methods to measure portfolio risk include standard deviation and Sharpe ratio.
What are the three types of portfolio management?
The three types of portfolio management include active, passive, and discretionary portfolio management. In active portfolio management, an investor buys and sells securities for risk management, while in the passive method, the investor buys a security for the long term. In the discretionary method, a third party is hired to manage trading and mitigate risks.
What is portfolio risk with an example?
The potential for loss in your investment portfolio is known as portfolio risk. It also includes the fall in value of your portfolio. This can occur due to various factors like changes in the currency market and interest rate fluctuations.

For instance, if the economy sees high inflation rates, the prices of securities in your portfolio can change, resulting in losses.

What is the portfolio at risk ratio?
The portfolio risk ratio is derived by calculating the ratio of the total balance of loans over 30 days past due, along with all refinanced (restructured) loans, to the outstanding gross portfolio value on a specific date.
What is the importance of portfolio at risk?
Portfolio risk is important to understand the interplay of market factors and how they may affect your investments. Only by effectively managing portfolio risk will you be able to protect and grow your wealth, even during market fluctuations, and achieve your long-term financial goals.

Why portfolio can reduce risk?
Diversifying your portfolio is an effective way to reduce risk. Investing in several different types of assets ensures that the positive movements in one will offset the negative movements in another, ensuring stable returns with minimal risk in the long run.

What happens to portfolio risk?
Portfolio risk is the likelihood of a reduction in the value of your investments. Effectively managing portfolio risk is necessary for stable growth. If left unmanaged, it can adversely impact your investment and capital and lead to significant losses.

What is the portfolio risk formula?

Portfolio risk is typically quantified using statistical measures like standard deviation. This metric calculates the dispersion of returns from the average, providing an indication of volatility. A higher standard deviation signifies greater risk.

What is total portfolio risk?

Total portfolio risk represents the overall risk inherent in a portfolio. It is derived by calculating a weighted average of the individual asset's standard deviations, taking into account their respective proportions within the portfolio.

What is the best measure of portfolio risk?

The Sharpe ratio is a widely used metric to assess a portfolio's risk-adjusted performance. It measures the excess return generated per unit of risk, enabling investors to evaluate the efficiency of a portfolio. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates a more favourable risk-return trade-off.

Is portfolio risk a percentage?

Portfolio at Risk (PaR) is a common measure of portfolio risk expressed as a percentage. It quantifies the potential loss in the portfolio's value over a specific time horizon under normal market conditions. PaR provides a probabilistic estimate of downside risk.

What is portfolio factor risk?

Factor-based investing focuses on identifying and managing specific risk factors that drive asset returns. By analysing the underlying factors, such as value, growth, or momentum, investors can construct portfolios that are aligned with their investment objectives while mitigating unwanted exposures

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Bajaj Finance Limited (“BFL”) is an NBFC offering loans, deposits and third-party wealth management products.

The information contained in this article is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute any financial advice. The content herein has been prepared by BFL on the basis of publicly available information, internal sources and other third-party sources believed to be reliable. However, BFL cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information, assure its completeness, or warrant such information will not be changed. 

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