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The Evening Star is a three-candlestick pattern that can signal a possible change from an uptrend to a downtrend.
- The first candle is a large bullish candle showing strong buying pressure.
- The second candle has a small body and can be bullish or bearish, showing indecision.
- The third candle is a large bearish candle that closes well into the body of the first candle, preferably below its midpoint.
- The pattern becomes more meaningful when it appears after a clear uptrend.
- Traders may use trading volume, RSI, support and resistance levels, or later price movement for additional confirmation.
- Like any technical pattern, the Evening Star can give false signals, so traders should use proper risk management.
What is an Evening Star candlestick pattern?
How to identify the evening star candlestick pattern?
The Evening Star candlestick pattern is a 3-candlestick formation used in technical analysis. It usually appears after an uptrend and suggests that the price may reverse and start moving downward.
The pattern consists of three candles:
- The first candle is a large bullish candle, showing a strong upward price movement.
- The second candle has a small body and can be bullish or bearish. It shows that buying momentum may be slowing and traders are becoming uncertain.
- The third candle is a large bearish candle. It closes well into the first candle’s body, preferably below its midpoint, showing that sellers are gaining control.
For example, imagine a stock has been rising steadily. A large green candle forms first, followed by a small candle showing hesitation. If a large red candle then appears and closes below the midpoint of the first green candle, an Evening Star may have formed.
How does an Evening Star work?
Candlestick charts show a security’s open, high, low, and close prices over a particular period. Each candlestick has a body and may have upper and lower wicks.
A long candle body shows a relatively large difference between the opening and closing prices, while a short body shows a smaller difference.
The Evening Star suggests that an existing uptrend may be losing strength. It develops in three stages:
- Uptrend continuation: The first candle is a long bullish candle, usually shown in green or white. It indicates strong buying pressure and continuation of the existing uptrend.
- Indecision: The second candle has a small body and can be bullish or bearish. It shows that buyers are losing momentum and market participants are becoming uncertain. The candle may resemble a spinning top or, if its open and close are nearly equal, a Doji.
Possible reversal: The third candle is a long bearish candle, usually shown in red. It closes well into the body of the first candle, preferably below its midpoint, showing stronger selling pressure.
Once all three candles are present, traders may treat the formation as a possible bearish reversal signal rather than a guarantee that prices will fall.
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Why is the Evening Star pattern important?
The Evening Star pattern can help traders recognise when an existing uptrend may be weakening.
- Reversal signal: The pattern suggests a possible shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
- Confirmation of a possible trend change: When it appears after an established uptrend, it can indicate that buying momentum is weakening and selling pressure is increasing.
Risk management: Traders may use the pattern along with stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the expected reversal does not happen.
How can you trade using an Evening Star?
Trading with an Evening Star involves identifying the pattern, looking for confirmation, and managing risk.
- Identify the pattern: Look for a large bullish first candle, followed by a small-bodied second candle and a large bearish third candle.
- Wait for confirmation: Check whether the third candle closes well into the first candle’s body, preferably below its midpoint.
- Choose an entry point: Some traders may consider selling an existing long position or entering a short position after the pattern is completed.
- Set a stop-loss: A stop-loss may be placed above the pattern’s recent high to limit losses if the price moves upward instead.
- Set a profit target: Traders may use earlier support levels or a chosen risk-reward ratio to plan an exit.
For example, if an Evening Star forms after a strong rise but the price moves upward again instead of falling, a stop-loss can help limit the loss from an incorrect reversal signal.
What is an example of an Evening Star?
Consider a hypothetical stock that has been moving upward.
- The first candle is a large green candle, showing strong buying pressure.
- The second candle has a small body and small upper and lower wicks, showing uncertainty among traders.
- The third candle is a large red candle that closes below the midpoint of the first candle.
Together, these 3 candles form an Evening Star pattern.
A trader who identifies the pattern may consider reducing an existing long position or looking for a short-selling opportunity if other indicators also support a possible reversal.
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What are the strengths and weaknesses of the Evening Star pattern?
The Evening Star has both advantages and limitations.
Strengths:
- It provides a clear visual signal that an uptrend may be weakening.
- The completed third candle can provide traders with a clear point from which to assess a possible bearish trade.
- Higher trading volume during the third bearish candle may provide additional support for the reversal signal.
Weaknesses:
- The Evening Star can give false signals, and the price may continue rising instead of reversing.
- A failed reversal can lead to losses, particularly for traders who enter short positions.
- The usefulness of the pattern depends on factors such as the existing trend and overall market conditions.
For this reason, traders generally should not rely on the Evening Star pattern alone when making trading decisions.
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How can you trade using the Evening Star pattern?
The following guidelines can help traders analyse an Evening Star candlestick pattern:
Analyse price levels
Review the open, close, high, and low prices to identify the three-candle formation. The pattern typically appears after an uptrend and consists of a bullish candle, a small-bodied candle, and a larger bearish candle.
Use RSI for additional confirmation
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) can help traders check whether a security may be overbought. An RSI above 70 is commonly treated as an overbought reading.
If an Evening Star appears when RSI is above 70, traders may consider it additional information when assessing a possible reversal. However, RSI does not guarantee that the price will fall.
Identify entry signals
Look for the complete three-candle structure. Some traders may consider a sell order below the low of the third candle after the pattern has formed.
Set a stop-loss level
A stop-loss can be placed above the recent high of the Evening Star formation. This helps limit losses if the expected bearish move does not occur.
Refine entries using shorter time frames
After identifying the Evening Star on the main chart, traders may look at a shorter time frame for more detailed price movement before deciding on an entry or exit.
For example, if the pattern appears on a daily chart, a trader may look at a shorter chart to study how the price behaves around the identified level.
Conclusion
The Evening Star candlestick pattern is a 3-candle bearish reversal formation that can help traders identify when an uptrend may be losing strength. It moves from strong buying in the first candle to indecision in the second and stronger selling in the third.
However, an Evening Star does not guarantee that prices will fall. Traders can consider the wider market trend, trading volume, RSI, support and resistance levels, and risk management before making a trading decision.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Evening Star Candlestick Pattern
Is the evening star pattern bullish or bearish?
The Evening Star is a bearish reversal pattern. It usually appears after an uptrend and suggests that buying momentum may be weakening while selling pressure is increasing. However, the pattern does not guarantee that the price will fall. Traders may look at trading volume, RSI, support levels, and later price movement before acting on the signal.
What does the evening star indicate?
The Evening Star indicates a possible reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Its three candles show a change in market sentiment, moving from strong buying to indecision and then stronger selling. When the third bearish candle closes well into the body of the first bullish candle, it suggests that sellers may be gaining control.
How to confirm evening star?
You can confirm an Evening Star by checking whether the third bearish candle closes well into the first bullish candle’s body, preferably below its midpoint. Traders may also look for higher trading volume on the third candle, an RSI reading above 70, or further downward price movement. These signals can support the pattern, but they do not guarantee a reversal.
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